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Rain chances will be on the increase later tonight and tonight as a weather maker moves in from the west/southwest. Rainfall between today and Friday morning will be in the 0.25"-0.50" range.
The next significant weather event will be on Saturday night into Sunday afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms should move into the area from west to east.
It appears that most of the precipitation should end by Sunday night and Monday morning. It will turn colder behind the cold front - once the precipitation has moved east.
Right now it appears that dew points may not recover enough for a significant severe weather risk. With that said - there may be a couple of severe thunderstorms in or near the region. I believe the bigger risk would be further south of our local counties.
Here is the forecast dew point map from the GFS - you can see the higher dew points to our south. This iimage is from www.wright-weather.com
Typically in the winter I like to see dew points in the 55-60 degree range. They can be lower if instability is present. Instability may not be present on Sunday.
Click image for full size view
I will continue to monitor and update as we move forward.
Rainfall with the Sunday/Monday system should be in the 0.40"-0.80" range.
Spot NWS forecast for your location (keep in mind that
these forecasts on the point and click page are the NWS forecast
thoughts - my thoughts are below and/or on my weather Facebook page) -- Click here - then enter your zip code for the most up to date spot forecast from the National Weather Service.Rainfall with the Sunday/Monday system should be in the 0.40"-0.80" range.
I am tracking a possible snow event for next week.
This is the latest GFS model showing snow in our region next Tuesday night and Wednesday. LONG way off - don't get your snow-hopes up just yet. Stay tuned and we will track it together.
It isn't too soon to do a snow dance. If you are a snow fan - then dance away.
This is the GFS model from www.wright-weather.com
The pink and purple over our region - that would likely be snow. Storm track and intensity would be key to this event. Many days to watch it - confidence is low.
Click image for full size view
The longer range is starting to show some colder shots of air after this week. A couple of storm systems may track south of our region. This might mean snow for some areas of the south-lands and southeast United States. A bit early to make a call on storm tracks. Stay tuned!
For more frequent updates visit my weather Facebook page - click here and hit like at the top of the page.
No major concerns
No major concerns.
No wild card in today's forecast.
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The forecast for severe or extreme weather
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The McCracken County Office of Emergency Management reminds
you that owning a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio is the best way to
receive notifications of severe weather watches and warnings.
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Remember
that the National Weather Service defines a severe thunderstorm as one
that produces 58 mph winds or higher, hail 1" in size or larger, and/or a
tornado.
Thursday: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits? A rumble of thunder possible
Tonight: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits? A rumble of thunder possible
Tomorrow: Severe weather is not anticipated. No snow or ice.
Is there a chance for thunderstorms BELOW severe limits? No
For the most up to date severe weather outlooks - click here.
or
Visit the Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
To view storm reports from today and yesterday - click here
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Will the Storm Prediction Center issue a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, or western Kentucky?
Thursday - No
Friday - No
Saturday - No
Sunday - Monitor
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
Friday - No
Saturday - No
Sunday - Monitor
To view the official Storm Prediction Center's web-site - click here Alternative link - click here
We have a number of new radars available on our Weather Observatory web-site !
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.
We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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We now offer St Louis, Mt Vernon, Evansville, Poplar Bluff, Cape Girardeau, Marion, Paducah, Hopkinsville, Memphis, Nashville, and Dyersburg Interactive City Radars. I have added all of eastern Kentucky, as well.
We also have the two regional radars and now offer you three GR Earth radars.
Click here for our radar page - WEATHER RADARS ---
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We also have a new interactive radar - you can view that radar by clicking here.
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Want to learn more about how to use our radars? Here is a video with more information
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To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in IL - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in KY - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in MO - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in TN - Click Here
All other states- Click Here
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The
links above are interactive and you can move around the United States
by simply clicking on the national map - or from the pull down
menu where it says regions and US States.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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To view the interactive warning map - click here.
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You can listen to local emergency services, SKYWARN storm spotters, and more by visiting our scanner feed page - click here
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The Weather Observatory is a strong partner with the National Weather Service - click here to visit your local NWS web-site. For the most up to date warnings/advisories hit refresh on their page.
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Let's
check out the how much rain is forecast to fall in our region. This
map gives you a general broad brushed idea of what can be expected. Remember the scale is at the top of the map.
Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in!
CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image
Click the link below - then choose your the time period you are interested in!
CLICK HERE FOR THE RAINFALL GRAPHIC - then choose the time frame above the image
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can also now view the probability of X amount of rain (you pick the value on the web-site) in a six hour period of time. Those maps can be viewed here.
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Current conditions - including temperatures, apparent temperatures, heat index, wind chill, wind, pressure, humidity, dew points, and more - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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You can view the upcoming days high temperature and low temperature forecasts by clicking here - choose the day - click on your state to zoom in
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To view recent records that have been broken - click here
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Keep
in mind that these forecasts on the point and click page are the NWS
forecast thoughts - my thoughts are below and/or on my weather Facebook
page.
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
Forecast for your local town/city - Click Here
We
have a TON of new weather maps on the Weather Observatory web-site -
these include temperatures, wind speed, dew points, heat index,
barometric pressure, predicted rainfall, climate forecast, medium and
long range maps, forecasts and more! Click here
If you are a weather enthusiast then I recommend listening to WeatherBrains each week! For a more in-depth look at what is happening in meteorology.
Now is a GREAT time
to buy a NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio. Better to have one before
storms strike than to be without one during an event. I recommend the Midland Model 300 NOAA All Hazards Weather Radio - that is what I use here at my house!
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Meteorologist Beau DodsonMcCracken County Office of Emergency Management
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Beau Dodson Weather - Facebook
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To view all watches and warnings in Illinois - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Kentucky - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Missouri - Click Here
To view all watches and warnings in Tennessee - Click Here
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For the latest watches and warnings please visit your local National Weather Service Office web-site
http://www.weather.gov/organization.php
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Remember most of the maps on the blog can be viewed on Weather Observatory Web-Site
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